Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.001546 0.001644 0.001744 0.001855 0.001976 0.002102 0.002245
2025-02-02 0.001431 0.001572 0.001724 0.001899 0.002098 0.002315 0.002573
2025-02-09 0.001347 0.001517 0.001705 0.001930 0.002194 0.002493 0.002862
2025-02-16 0.001312 0.001509 0.001733 0.002009 0.002341 0.002731 0.003227
2025-02-23 0.001244 0.001455 0.001700 0.002009 0.002390 0.002849 0.003452
2025-03-02 0.001156 0.001371 0.001625 0.001950 0.002361 0.002867 0.003547
2025-03-09 0.001089 0.001307 0.001570 0.001912 0.002352 0.002905 0.003667
2025-03-16 0.001045 0.001270 0.001544 0.001908 0.002384 0.002995 0.003855
2025-03-23 0.000998 0.001226 0.001507 0.001886 0.002389 0.003048 0.003994
2025-03-30 0.000960 0.001191 0.001480 0.001874 0.002408 0.003117 0.004157
2025-04-06 0.000920 0.001151 0.001444 0.001849 0.002404 0.003155 0.004276
2025-04-13 0.000880 0.001110 0.001405 0.001817 0.002390 0.003177 0.004372
2025-04-20 0.000821 0.001045 0.001335 0.001745 0.002323 0.003130 0.004379
2025-04-27 0.000810 0.001043 0.001349 0.001790 0.002423 0.003327 0.004762
2025-05-04 0.000795 0.001034 0.001353 0.001819 0.002502 0.003497 0.005117
2025-05-11 0.000795 0.001047 0.001387 0.001892 0.002648 0.003775 0.005660
2025-05-18 0.000771 0.001024 0.001370 0.001892 0.002684 0.003886 0.005943
2025-05-25 0.000732 0.000979 0.001319 0.001838 0.002635 0.003862 0.005998
2025-06-01 0.000701 0.000944 0.001282 0.001802 0.002612 0.003877 0.006119
2025-06-08 0.000682 0.000925 0.001266 0.001799 0.002639 0.003972 0.006383
2025-06-15 0.000658 0.000899 0.001241 0.001778 0.002636 0.004019 0.006565
2025-06-22 0.000639 0.000879 0.001222 0.001768 0.002650 0.004092 0.006799
2025-06-29 0.000618 0.000854 0.001196 0.001744 0.002640 0.004125 0.006959